Horrors of History, Part One
If you enjoy reading about evil historical deeds you may enjoy this, since it will give the names and dates of many great crimes in history that you can look up elsewhere to find more bloody and graphic descriptions than would be allowed here.
The first two sections have some redeeming social value as they state my belief that people who are merely human have very little ability to judge whether their groups should fight in their situations, and very little ability to decide which side in a violent conflict is the better one worth supporting, and very little ability to limit themselves to using weapons, tactics, strategies, and methods which are not evil, vile, and loathsome.
Don’t Turn Evil, Part One
Copyright 2010 M. A. Golding
Nobody wants to turn evil, but evidence indicates that people who are merely human have very poor ethical abilities and find it hard to tell right from wrong.
It is almost impossible for People who are merely human to tell which side in a conflict is more right and less wrong. This means that people who try to choose to support the side that is more right and less wrong and succeed almost always do so by pure chance. Most persons would have only very slightly more than fifty percent probability of selecting the more right and less wrong side in a conflict.
Most people do not choose which side to support in a conflict but simply automatically support the side that they are already a member of. Such people have exactly a fifty percent chance of being on the side that is slightly more good and slightly less evil, vile, disgusting, and loathsome than the other side in each conflict they participate in or support a side in.
So a person who automatically supported his side in two conflicts would have only a twenty five percent chance of supporting the slightly less horrifyingly evil side both times.
A person who automatically supported his side in three conflicts would have only a 12.5 percent chance of supporting the slightly better and less disgustingly evil side all three times.
A person who automatically supported his side in four conflicts would have only a 6.25 percent chance of supporting the somewhat better side in all four conflicts.
A person who automatically supported his side in every conflict it fought in would have only a 3.125 percent chance of supporting the less evil side five times...
He would have only a 0.0976562 percent chance of being right in ten conflicts.
A person who did not automatically support the side he was already a member of in all conflicts but tried to support the side he thought was better and not worse would not do much better.
It seems evident that a person who tries to choose the better side in a conflict to support will be right only slightly more than fifty percent of the time.
Don’t Turn Evil, Part Two
Copyright 2010 M. A. Golding
If a person who tried to select and support the better side in a violent conflict would have only a fifty one percent chance of choosing correctly once, he would have only a 0.1187943 percent chance of picking the better side in ten conflicts - slightly better than one chance in a thousand of being right ten times.
Some people may think that the average Human has much more than fifty one percent probability of selecting the right side in a conflict.
Perhaps someone could be right nineteen times out of twenty, or ninety five percent of the time. Many people would say that was far too high.
And such a person would have only a 59.97997 percent chance of being right ten times. He would have slightly more than a forty percent chance of being wrong at least once. He would have 35.84854 percent chance of being right twenty times, almost a two thirds chance of being wrong at least once in twenty times.
Perhaps a person could be right ninety nine percent of the time, or ninety nine times out of a hundred. Even more people would say that was far too high.
If a person could be right ninety nine percent of the time, he would have a 90.43818 percent chance of being right ten times, and a 36.97283 per cent chance of being right one hundred times, almost a two thirds chance of being wrong at least one time in a hundred.
Every person makes tens and hundreds and thousands of important decisions in his life He makes personal decisions about what is best for him and social decisions about what is best for every group he cares about up to the entire Human race.
So even someone really good at making decisions will certainly make at least a few wrong decisions, with unfortunate results.
A person who never decides to support what he thinks is the better side in a violent conflict will never be wrong about which group of killers to support.
Any side in a violent conflict will have the choice of many different weapons, tactics, and methods. A good person would try to keep his side from using the more evil weapons, tactics, and methods.
But how can he correctly choose which weapons, tactics, and methods are too brutal, ruthless, evil, and violent to be used if he can not make the right decision very time?
One of the best ways to be certain to avoid supporting a side which had the more evil goals in a conflict, or used methods that were too evil, or both, is to never support any aide in any violent conflict.
A good, or rather terrible, example of how hard it is for people to decide if a group is right to fight, and to avoid committing evil deeds, is the Second Anglo-Powhatan War in Virginia.
It's not all the joy that paved the way for humanity, it was all the tears. Happiness is just the healing drug.
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