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Naruto Returns to Arc: 2 Reasons to Celebrate
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24 / M / Gotemba,Shizuoka,...
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Posted 2/3/11
Do we post here when we get em all? Or is it automatic?
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23 / M / Belgium
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Posted 2/3/11 , edited 2/3/11

Alchemist4 wrote:

Do we post here when we get em all? Or is it automatic?


It says in the original post you automatically participate once you have all 8 badges.

On a side note:

I calculated that (if the system is truly random) it takes an average of ~21.17 episodes to attain all badges (with a deviation ranging 8 - 69).

So generally at most you have to watch 69 episodes (if you have really really bad luck). Note that it is possible to have an infinite streak of same badges, but this is incredibly unlikely.
At least you have to watch 8 episodes (lucky at every episode, getting a new badge you haven't encountered before).
On average you have to watch ~21.17 episodes.

Only 1 badge to go for me
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24 / M / Gotemba,Shizuoka,...
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Posted 2/3/11

betonboor wrote:


Alchemist4 wrote:

Do we post here when we get em all? Or is it automatic?


It says in the original post you automatically participate once you have all 8 badges.

On a side note:

I calculated that (if the system is truly random) it takes an average of ~21.17 episodes to attain all badges (with a deviation ranging 8 - 69).

So generally at most you have to watch 69 episodes (if you have really really bad luck). Note that it is possible to have an infinite streak of same badges, but this is incredibly unlikely.
At least you have to watch 8 episodes (lucky at every episode, getting a new badge you haven't encountered before).
On average you have to watch ~21.17 episodes.

Only 1 badge to go for me


I got them all but then I deleted some of them because I want them in order on my profile page. Lol :3
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Posted 2/3/11 , edited 2/3/11

Alchemist4 wrote:

I got them all but then I deleted some of them because I want them in order on my profile page. Lol :3


lol

Damn, now I want them in order too

Edit: just got my last badge
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24 / M / Gotemba,Shizuoka,...
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Posted 2/3/11 , edited 2/3/11

betonboor wrote:


Alchemist4 wrote:

I got them all but then I deleted some of them because I want them in order on my profile page. Lol :3


lol

Damn, now I want them in order too

Edit: just got my last badge


yeah but the puzzle piece aren't actually in order... so even if you have them in order they don't make the picture xD

Edit: Pictures are in order but they are in a column of two. Below I put them together but for some reason they aren't the same size. lol



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Posted 2/3/11
YES!!!!!! The end of the god awful fillers, now I just hope the anime studio, don't rush through all the Manga issues and then gift us with four months of more pointless filler episodes, I swear the Anime makers must hate the actual manga story and rush through it so they can torture us with their own original idea's because we'd all rather watch Naruto's IQ dropping another 20 points, Sakura being a complete OOC fangirl pathetic b***ch, Hinata getting all that extra screentime suggesting she's all but married to Naruto already, and ofcourse if not that, SasuNaru undertones.
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Posted 2/3/11

On a side note:

I calculated that (if the system is truly random) it takes an average of ~21.17 episodes to attain all badges (with a deviation ranging 8 - 69).

So generally at most you have to watch 69 episodes (if you have really really bad luck). Note that it is possible to have an infinite streak of same badges, but this is incredibly unlikely.
At least you have to watch 8 episodes (lucky at every episode, getting a new badge you haven't encountered before).
On average you have to watch ~21.17 episodes.

Only 1 badge to go for me


For anyone wondering how the odds on this game work, I got something slightly different from the previous poster; my break-even point was actually 19.4 episodes. I'll give a few of my numbers, in format "number of turns (chance of winning)": 8 (0.24%), 10 (2.8%), 15 (24.8%), 20 (53.1%), 25 (73.7%), 30 (85.9%), 40 (96.2%), 60 (99.7%), 80 (99.98%).

And for anyone with truly morbid curiosity, here's how the calculation goes:

First, consider the odds of not getting any of one particular piece (say 4, that's the one I'm missing) during a series of N picks. Those odds will be (7/8)^N. There are eight different ways to do this, so to a first approximation, the odds of winning are 1 - 8*(7/8)^N.

However, this isn't quite right (as you can tell by noting that N=8 gives a negative result, when you really should have some chance). The problem is that in some of our sets that lack one piece, there is actually more than one piece missing. In order to correct for this "overcounting," we need to add back on (essentially) the odds of missing two pieces. There are 28 unique pairs of pieces (for those of you who aren't scared off by factorials, this is an N choose n problem, and we get 28 from 8!/(2!*6!)), so our new odds of winning are 1 - 8*(7/8)^N + 28*(6/8)^N.

We can keep playing this game, since in the last bit we neglected the possibility of missing three pieces, and so on. The final odds of winning turn out to be:

1 - 8*(7/8)^N + 28*(6/8)^N - 56*(5/8)^N + 70*(4/8)^N - 56*(3/8)^N + 28*(2/8)^N - 8*(1/8)^N
Posted 2/3/11
Good news indeed. Especially after I've been absent for so long all thanks to a gremlin that screwed my internet.
auzorn 
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Posted 2/3/11
yes
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36 / M
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Posted 2/3/11
Done... like I'm sure many others are.
Posted 2/4/11
Completed.
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60 / M
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Posted 2/4/11
alright
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21 / F / Estonia
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Posted 2/4/11
Must remember to watch some Naruto at home on ma own comp. >x<
And finally the filler eps are ending. >x<
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24 / M / Memphis
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Posted 2/4/11
OMG Am tired of trying to get all the dang puzzle peices.. its dumb,, i watch like 4 episodes a day and i keep getting piece 1 and 8.. wTf
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24 / M / Delaware
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Posted 2/4/11
That's nice, it's ashame the first episode will probably just be a recap though.
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