Do we live in an anime bubble in time?
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39 / M / Utah
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Posted 8/11/12
Imagine in 50 years, maybe 100 we will have the technology to create virtually anyone flawlessly with computers. Humphry Bogart fighting space aliens? No problem. Jackie Chan singing Beatles songs in music videos? Why not? Why, we'll have a perfect image of Ceasar dancing the jitterbug to sell car insurance.

So will animation, and I suppose as we're all fans, anime specifically even exist? If a computer program can recreate any character flawlessly will there be any reason for people to animate a cartoon?

Do we in fact live in an anime bubble in time which will vanish just as silent films of the past where some people will look back and say 'this is what people did to create characters before the advent of full computer simulations.'?
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Posted 8/11/12
i think crowfunding (like kickstarter) will be the norm in the future we will see consumers become the producers themselves too
CAD designing will be as normal as using photoshop now so in that way their will be abundant character designs and environment models for easier animation

heck motion capture maybe so common you only need 1 camera only like this recent news - http://phys.org/news/2012-08-markerless-motion-capture.html so if that tech evolves more enough maybe the webcams will have some motion capture capability for more easier animation its gonna happen sooner or later just see this - http://youtu.be/CvievLytmrs

so for me ye their wont be big anime studios in the future but that is because animation will be so common
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Posted 8/11/12
Interesting.

Now imagine for a moment the Holodeck from Star Trek exists.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holodeck

When it does do you think people will still make animation when you can create an environment where you're able to have Albert Einstein playing cards with Isaac Newton on top of a volcano on Jupiter's moon Io just as easily as walking down the street?

Is there still room for anime? I mean, I don't know about you but I certainly plan on living forever. Will there be anime in the forever or will it disappear?
The Wise Wizard
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Posted 8/11/12
I believe that once such technology exists, anime will be more rare, much as black & white films are today, but likewise, it will still exist because some creators will see it as the best form of expression of their ideas.
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Posted 8/11/12 , edited 8/11/12
I don't see it as a problem. Animation will adapt.

I base this on history. In the early 1800s, photography was invented. Initially, it was just a curiosity. It took days to create a single photograph. Eventually, the technology improved and we got the techniques like daguerreotype--look it up! You can see even more detail under a microscope! But, creating a daguerreotype was still difficult, not to mention dangerous (due to the chemicals involved). Still, the technology continued to improve and get easier to use.

Painters for centuries were the sole proprietors of images. And yet photography threw all that into disarray. Imagine how painters felt. What did it matter to paint when you someone could more easily photograph the same things? And yet... painters adapted. They created new approaches. Impressionism was the first major painting revolution, due in part to photography amongst other pressures and influences.

The OP describes different forms of virtual reality. We are already seeing some of this today, but I agree it will become more prevalent in the future. Will this mean animation disappears?

I don't believe so. Animation is a style. A non-realistic world can be just as compelling as a realistic depiction. Its the choices and presentation that matter. Animation might not remain as popular in the future, but the freedom that it provides for story telling probably won't change.

Think of it in terms of surrealism, or minimalism, or even deconstructionism. These techniques won't go away just because we can render scenes in perfect fidelity. But these techniques can allow you to play with a story in new ways. "Who Framed Roger Rabbit?" was a trendsetter in this respect.

This is why I think animation will be with us for a long time, and why I don't believe that it will be a rare form of expression.
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Posted 8/11/12
If they can recreate flawless characters I would not be surprised if a computer will do all the animation of a cartoon, instead of manual labor a computer can generate all this out and not be in a cgi tone.

Technology is subjective to whatever you want it to do/be, I'm sure the how anime gets animated will change but I would not see anime/animation going away just because technology is advancing.
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Posted 8/11/12
deadpanditto

That was beautiful. I think I have hope now.
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