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Post Reply North Korea 'likely' to have conducted nuclear test
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Posted 1/6/16 , edited 1/6/16
North Korea's not the one scaring me.

I'm more worried about a terrorist group getting their hands on a dirty bomb and blowing radioactive dust across a major city.
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Posted 1/6/16
Even if they have managed to put together a hydrogen warhead the situation as I understand it remains that they lack a delivery system capable of reaching targets in the US or Europe. If that's still the case (and it probably is) they're still just a regional threat. Being a regional threat isn't nothing, and the DPRK obtaining missile-ready hydrogen warheads would still be a big deal even without the long-range delivery systems, but the rules of the game won't have changed entirely even if it does turn out to be true. The DPRK is still only in a mutual defence agreement with the PRC, the PRC is still viciously opposed to ending the armistice and reopening the Korean War, and the PRC's military could still squash the DPRK like a bug if it needed to. Pyongyang is not going to be firing salvos at Washington by tea time tomorrow no matter how much they say they would like to or how much they insist they already could. It's simply not in the cards for them.

Rather, what concerns me is what would happen if they decided to stop selling methamphetamine to keep the lights on and started selling prepped material or even completed warheads. That's a big maybe, but a concerning one nonetheless.
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Posted 1/7/16 , edited 1/7/16
Russia or ISIS/terrorist cells would likely fire a nuclear weapon far before NK, which is why it's of much more concern to not let the latter get ahold of anything nuclear or vaguely threatening. NK is a joke, as heinous and unfair the treatment is for people living in the country- it's still a joke of a country. There is a much bigger threat in a terrorist group acquiring a bomb or having Russia turn around and start a civil uprising and war, than the prospect of North Korea actually doing anything.
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